Pathogen Deaths – Worst Is Yet To Come

So maybe I am the only one who doesn’t see how things are adding up.


But in the U.S. we have 4,000 dead from Coronavirus and 3/4 of the country (all the major population centers) are on lockdown. 


Yet, the projections are still for deaths in the U.S. to pile up between 100,000 to 240,000


How do you get from 4,000 to 240,000 with most people under lockdown?


The numbers of projected deaths were in the millions before the lockdown and social distancing, so yes the numbers are lower and better now. 


Still the escalating death toll is frightening in its magnitude of what is yet to come DESPITE the lockdown.


Moreover, the estimated death in the U.S. from the Flu was only 34,000 (2018-2019) and that’s with everybody round and about doing their business.


My question is what happens after the (first) peak when they send people back to work and school?


There are still going to be people sick and contagious out there and the whole cycle STARTS AGAIN until we get the vaccine. 


And even after the vaccine, it may become seasonal like the flu or mutate and become even more virulent. 


It seems like there is plenty of reason to be cautious and concerned about what is yet to happen from here.


Then again we may be considered fortunate this time and actually beat this Coronavirus, but then again what happens when the NEXT really bad natural or man-made pathogen gets out? 😉


Note: There are approximately 16 countries with deadly biological weapons programs. 


(Credit Photo: My wonderful so-in-law, Itzchak)

3 Months of Social Distancing

Here is a link to the modeling for Covid-19:

https://covidactnow.org/


You can click any state to see the impact of 3 months of social distancing or 3-months of Shelter in Place.


Basically, it looks like this first round of coronavirus will last until around the beginning of June. 


The hope is that we can keep the hospitals and medical system from being overwhelmed while we try to come up and test an effective vaccine. 


Of course, vaccines are helpful, but look how many still get the flu every year because viruses mutate and the vaccine misses the mark.


Also, there is a risk that the virus comes back even more virulent again, so we all need to continue to pray! 😉


(Thank you to my sister for sharing this with me.)

Great Explanation of Coronavirus (Covid-19)

Great explanation of Coronavirus (Covid-19) by the World Health Organization (WHO).

Need a Part II though to explain what people should do when they get sick–communication on this part has been awful. 

BTW, the governor of California stated that he estimates that 56% of their population or 25.5 million people would be infected there within eight weeks. 

At a 1-2% fatality rate (lower than the current global 4% fatality rate) that would mean between 250,000 and 500,000 dead just in California.  

This is very serious stuff folks. 😉

(Credit to my daughter, Rebecca for sharing this with video)

COVID-19 Dashboard Tracker

Incredible COVID-19 tracker at: 

https://ncov2019.live/data


Developed by a 17-year old Jewish kid from Seattle. 


There is a page for data by continent, country, and state. 


And another tab with an interactive map of the cases. 


Also, a page of useful information from The Center for Coronavirus Information.


The information updates every minute by scrapping information “from reliable sources from all over the world.


I think it would also be helpful to add an aggregator of top news stories on the Coronavirus.


I find this to be a very simple, straight-forward dashboard to keep up with the developments of this virus. 


Thank you Avi Shiffmann–job well done!  😉


(Credit to Minna Blumenthal for sharing this with me)

Germs, Can’t Think About Anything Else

With Coronavirus media madness 24/7…


Who can think about anything but germs!


Or should I say killing germs. 


Nobody wants to get sick.


And we don’t want to get others sick either. 

– Wash your hands a lot!


– No more handshakes.  


– No more touching “suspect” surfaces.  


– Keep good (“far”) social distancing. 


– Quarantine yourself in the house for 2 weeks (actually it’s more like indefinitely).


What has become of our world. 


Just one big GERM BOWL. 


Can we really hide from the germs? 😉


(Credit Photo: Andy Blumenthal)

Simpsons Predicted Coronavirus

It’s incredible that the Simpsons’ creators predicted Coronavirus back in 1993!


I understand that the sign in the first photo (top left) was edited from Osaka Flu to Corona Virus.


But still incredibly…


The Chinese workers are seen coughing/sneezing into the box of goods being exported to us.


Simpson opens his new bought goodies.


And instead of the joy of shopping, he gets sick.


And the virus spreads and spreads. 


(Source photo: Dailymail and you can watch the Youtube video there as well)