Deterrence Alone Is Not A Strategy

 

High Wire Act.jpeg

So there is a military doctrine that has been in place for decades. 


– MAD – Mutually Assured Destruction 


If you attack the USA with weapons of mass destruction, you’ll get an overwhelming responses that will totally destroy your country. 


This was what supposedly held the USSR at bay during the cold war. 


And even recently, President Trump threatened North Korea that they would be “totally destroyed” if they try anything on us. 


The problem is that the MAD doctrine of deterrence assumes incorrectly that you are always dealing with rational actors and not with madmen.


Let’s face it, their are plenty of crazies out there, and some of whom may be willing to go down in a “blaze of glory” as long as they stand up to the United States and die a heroes death for their radicalized or “subjected” people. 


Whether it’s Iran or North Korea or others–we may not know what we are really dealing with here until it’s too late. 


Life is not everything to these people–remember many a terrorist has died a martyrs death with the promise of 72 virgins in heaven awaiting them. 


To some, as Prime Minister Gold Meir stated:

“Peace will come when the Arabs will love their children more than they hate us!”


Hate by virtue of perceived injustice, required Jihad or “holy war,” brainwashing or threats and the desire for a “glorious death” standing up to the infidels or the “great Satan…any of all of these can contribute to ignoring the consequences. 


Israel has tried to deter horrible homicide bombers/and other mad terrorists from performing their evil misdeeds on the civilian population by for example, demolishing the terrorist homes as a potent consequence that they know going into it, yet many terrorists still wear the explosive vests and detonate anyway.


Similarly, North Korea despite the President’s threat that they “will be met with fire and fury like the world has never seen,” brushed it off and shot off more volleys of ICBMs and threatened to engulf Guam in fire. 


– The point is that deterrence alone is not a strategy!


If our enemies can hit us with a devastating attack–whether WMD, cyber, EMP, or quantum attack— that can inflict immeasurable harm on us–they may actually choose to take their best shot, rather than wait for us to hit them or continue to feel disrespected, subjected, inferior, and hopeless.


To someone on the radical fringes or the mental edge, maybe–just maybe–they will do the unthinkable and surprise us.


What good will our fire and fury counterstrike do us, when our cities are in ruin and our people dead and dying en masse. 


Revenge isn’t so sweet when your family, homeland, and virtually everything you know and held dear is gone.


The only real military strategy is to be able to defend ourselves and AVOID getting a homeland catastrophe!


We need massive investment and expertise in missile defense, bio defense, cyber defense, quantum computing, and expansive hardening of our critical infrastructure.


Unfortunately, as naysayers to the threats abound, we are no where near where we need to be in protecting the homeland.


If one person falls from the high wire and smashes their head, what good is it that the other person falls and suffers similarly or worse. 


The point is not to fall, not to get hurt, not to die, not to have our country and way of life destroyed.


Deterrence does not guarantee this security to the country–especially when dealing with no shortage of radicalized nuts out there. 


Only a genuine defense that can STOP and counter the threats BEFORE a devastating attack happens and hits us is a strategy worth pursuing …and THEN you can punch the other person squarely in their devil’s face!


Without an adequate defensive strategy, get ready, because every high flying act eventually falls to the ground and hits their head hard. 😉


(Source Photo: Andy Blumenthal)

Vetting The Refugees–Do You Think It’ll Work?

Spy.JPEG

So not that anyone was so thrilled with the Syria and Iraq refugee idea post 9/11 to begin with…


But now 31 States have come straight out refusing to take these refugees post the terror attack that happened just last week in Paris–where at least one of the terrorists was...


Guess what?


That’s right!  A fake refugee from Syria


But what about the “intensive vetting process” that is being promised for these 10,000 refugees?


Well what can be more intensive than the vetting that the American government does on employees working for highly sensitive agencies like the CIA, FBI, and NSA? 


So how has that worked out?


Probably not too bad, but the problem is that no vetting no matter how thorough is foolproof, hence major spies have infiltrated these organizations for years or even decades and caused immense harm to national security:


Robert Hanssen (former FBI–spied for the Soviets for 21 years)


Aldrich Ames (31-year veteran of the CIA, compromised 2nd largest number of CIA agents after Robert Hanssen)


Edward Snowden (leaked classified information from the NSA on our surveillance programs)


The point is that no matter how well we vet 10,000 or more refugees from Iraq and Syria, with ISIS vowing “to strike America at its center in Washington”–there certainly can be some errors in the screening and final adjudication process.


Again no vetting process is perfect–especially when the refugees themselves are admitting that fake ideas are being given out to them like candy in a candy store. 


So that’s the dilemma we now face:


HEART–do what our heart tells us to and help people in need by taking in the refugees.


OR 


HEAD–follow our heads not risking another one or more potentially devastating terror attacks on the U.S. homeland. 


The choice is heartbreaking or headache producing! 😉


(Source Photo: Andy Blumenthal)

Refugee Crisis OR Something More Sinister And Deadly?

When presidential candidate, Donald Trump said, “I will build a big beautiful safe zone in Syria for the refugees“–many on the left were aghast. 


Then I got forwarded this video on what’s happening in Europe or to Europe (and to a far more limited extent to America).


The basic question raised–are the throngs of people making their way from the Middle East, North Africa, and Asia to Europe (and to America):


1) REFUGEES: Is this diversity, multiculturalism, humanitarianism, and truly helping refugees in need?


OR


2) MIGRANTS: Is this the overrunning of a continent and society–driven by the desire for money, land, power, sex and religious domination–without anyone ever even firing a shot?


No one wants to think the worst–even when terror is happening around us and ISIS is claiming to be planting thousands of terrorists among the refugees (like a massive Trojan Horse)–we still want to believe that we are doing the right thing, doing good, and helping people in need by welcoming them in. 


Most of us or our families have been refugees at one time or another–seeking safety and a better life–so we know what it’s like to need others and to need a chance–and we want to help others like others helped us. 


But watching the terror attacks, violence, rapes, and threats by some (or many, I don’t really know) of the current waves of “refugees”–one wonders is this like prior refugees coming and needing genuine help or something we’ve never quite seen before? 😉

When Terror Strikes–We Do What?

When Terror Strikes

Bret Stephens in the Wall Street Journal today writes compellingly about how tolerance for terror (or what he calls tolerance for intolerance) is allowing it to happen. 

For example, Jews are getting knifed, stoned, and intentionally run over almost daily in the Holy Land and not a peep from anyone, except to blame it on settlements, even though this extreme barbaric violence was happening long before there ever was a single settlement

It has become okay to use violence–even terrible sickening and brutal violence against civilians–and as much of it as one can muster–if you have a perceived gripe. Shall we talk burning victims alive, running over live bound victims with tanks, throwing gays off of the roofs of buildings, beheadings and crucifixions, serial killings and mass graves, abducting young girls as sex slaves, use of chemical weapons and indiscriminate bombings and shootings, and more. 

So what do we do?

– We tolerate the intolerable by excusing absolute insufferable violence against innocent men, women, and children, because some are feeling upset or aggrieved–so we show maybe misplaced compassion, where we should be expressing outrage at inhumane acts of murder and barbarism.

– We negotiate to try and appease the terrorists, but they couldn’t care less about deals when blood is the only thing that will quench their thirst for Jihad, power, and a new Caliphate.

– We use bold but empty phrases to placate the public and victim’s families–such as we are at war or we will be merciless and we will destroy them. and then we perform another single bombing run and drop 20 in retaliation (on perhaps empty buildings as the enemy claims) after the U.S. has already run 6,000 bombing runs previously. 

– We are afraid to name the enemy, with democratic candidates at Saturday’s night debate even refusing to use the term “radical Islamists

– We are afraid to fight the good and necessary fight–after the Wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, some are “war weary,” or perhaps pacifists to an out of bounds extreme–where we are willing to risk another major attack on U.S. soil rather than appropriately defend ourselves and bring the fight to the enemy. 

WAKE UP USA, EU, NATO, AND UN. 

This problem is not going away–it is not “contained”–the war is not won–far from it. 😉

(Source Graphic: Andy Blumenthal)

Terrorism Knows No Boundaries

Stabbing

Another stabbing in Jerusalem–right in the back of the head!


So far 18 terror stabbings in Israel in less than 10 days.


You never know when it’s coming until the blade sears through the air and into the head, neck, chest, or back of the victim.


In an apartment, at a shopping center, riding a bus, on the way to prayer–no one is safe!


Today, one 13-year old boy is in critical condition after being stabbed nearly a dozen times while riding his bicycle in Jerusalem.


The stabbing attacks are coming on top of shootings, stonings, bombings, molotov cocktails, and vehicular hit and runs.


The call for a third Intifada to terrorize and kill Jews in Israel is underway.


This on top of last year’s Gaza War when thousands of rockets where fired targeting Israeli cities and critical infrastructure as well as terror tunnels coming under the border to murder and abduct Israelis.


But Israel is not alone in fighting a wave of global terror–it is engulfing the Middle East and farther–from Libya to Syria, Yemen to Turkey, Iraq to Afghanistan–and hundreds of thousands of refugees are streaming to Europe.


Bombing of markets, weddings, funerals, houses of worship, and even peace rallies.


Chemical weapons, beheadings, hacking off limbs, crucifixions, burning victims alive, abductions of women and children, slavery, and gang rape, are now virtually accepted items in the International news, and on a daily basis. 


Next in the mix–maybe some suitcase or missile-tipped nukes delivered by impassioned Jihadists?


For now, we are watching from our perch of safety and security here and in Europe, but what when what we witness happening “over there” eventually comes over here…


Have we become so used to and callous to all the terrorism that we barely even blink an eye anymore when we read, hear, or see it?


While terrorism knows no physical boundaries, perhaps with an ever-increasing tempo of sickeningly outrageous and barbaric terrorist acts, it knows no boundaries to our soul anymore either.  😉


(Source Photo: Facebook via Documenting Anti-Semitism)