This is the Coronavirus chart that I don’t think anyone wants us to confront.
Rather than the typical chart we are shown with one high and then it tapers off and all is well…
There could be scenarios where there are multiple curves and peaks.
For example, if we send people back out to (work, school, etc.) and stop the social distancing too early–while there are still Coronavirus carriers around us and we don’t have an effective vaccine–then the contagion can start all over again.
Further, even with a vaccine, if the virus mutates (and could become more virulent) then this infection can go on spreading and killing with multiple peaks.
In short, this is the chart that speaks to cases where businesses are closed and people out of work much longer than expected, and where the recession takes hold and does some potentially real and lasting damage above and beyond what’s perhaps already priced in.
Again, let’s hope and pray that we don’t stop the social distancing prematurely and that our doctors and scientists get the vaccine for us sooner rather than later.
(Source Graphic: Andy Blumenthal)